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Value Test - 31st Jul


16.05 Beverley

Fear Nothing has sound claims but looks short at 7/4 and 2.92 so I am tempted to give Nickel Silver another chance. He ran here last week behind Last Sovereign, Select Committee, Tabaret and Steelcut. Last Sovereign carries 6lbs more and the others re-oppose on the same terms.

Nickel Silver usually likes to race up with the pace but last week he did not get a good start and was travelling well and looking for room in the final two furlongs before being switched and hampered. He may well have been pressing for a place if he had had a clear run.

He is drawn 1 today which should be ideal if he gets away well as other potential front runners are drawn high. He has run infrequently over the last two years but his last two runs are going in the right direction. If Bryan Smart is persisting because he thinks the horse can recapture his 2010 form odds of 33/1+ and 40 (BF place 8.0) look worthy of a small interest.

Another at big odds worthy of a small each way bet is Comptonspirit, at 20/1 and 21. She is drawn in 2 and could benefit from tracking Nickel Silver. She has her favoured Good To Firm going and is capable of building on her penultimate start, as her last run on easy going can be forgiven.

Steelcut looked unlucky not to finish closer last week but is again drawn high which tempers enthusiasm even at 11/1 and 19. Last Sovereign needs a strong pace if he starts slowly so again enthusiasm is tempered at  10/1 and 17. Tabaret and Select Committeee have decent chances but are too short to consider at around 5/1 as we are looking for the chance of a decent win if the short priced favourite fails with the bonus of additional place possibilities.

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