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Value Test - 11th Aug

11/08/12

15.10 Redcar

Pearl Nation is unexposed and the horses he beat last time out into second and third both won handicaps in their next runs. He is 7/2 with most books but looks value at 5.4 on Betfair.

Illustrious Prince is the second favourite at 9/2 and 6.2. The only real positive I can see is his [...]

Value Test - 10th Aug

10/08/12

16.00 Musselburgh

Green Howard at 3/1 and 4.4 may still be progressive but has been beaten twice off today’s rating in class 3 handicaps. He may have had excuses as he may have been on the wrong side of the course and may well do better on today’s faster going.

Al Muheer also has a good chance [...]

Value Test - 8th Aug

08/08/12

15.40 Newcastle

Discression is at 4/1 and 5.4. He may be progressive but is still a maiden and maidens do not have great records in handicaps. He has a chance taking potential into account but I see him as no more than a “saver”.

Eastward Ho may be better value at similar odds of 4/1 and 5.5 [...]

Value Test - 7th Aug

07/08/12

19.35 Ripon

David Nicholls has the two market leaders in this competitive class 3. It may pay to look at two slightly higher priced runners in Singeur and Bosun Breeze.

Singeur at 8/1 and 8.6 was beaten by 5L on his seasonal reappearance last time out and has dropped 2lbs to his last handicap winning mark. If [...]

Value Test - 4th Aug

04/08/12

19.00 Lingfield

Macchiara is the favourite at 3/1 and 4.0. This looks no more than ok for a maiden winner entering a handicap against older horses for the first time. She is unexposed so can improve but there may be value in looking at Patrick Chaming’s two runners.

Eager To Bow has good form on the all-weather [...]

Value Test - 3rd Aug

03/08/12

19.30 Newmarket

Crew Cut looks solid value at 5/1 and 6.4. He has been beaten twice by Trojan Rocket since winning and has gone up 1lb for each of those defeats but he didn’t have a clear run last time and tries 7f for the first time today. There is plenty of competition but he looks [...]

Value Test - 31st Jul

31/07/12

16.05 Beverley

Fear Nothing has sound claims but looks short at 7/4 and 2.92 so I am tempted to give Nickel Silver another chance. He ran here last week behind Last Sovereign, Select Committee, Tabaret and Steelcut. Last Sovereign carries 6lbs more and the others re-oppose on the same terms.

Nickel Silver usually likes to race up [...]

Value Test - 28th Jul

28/07/12

14.55 Ascot

Medicean Man finished 3rd in the Kings Stand, then ran slightly disappointingly in the Wokingham but last time had no run in a Sandown Group 3. He looks to be on top form and although he has been raised 6lb to 109 for his recent pattern efforts he is capable of winning. At 10/1 [...]

Value Test - 26th Jul

26/07/12

17.55 Bath

The favourite Sarangoo looks reasonable at 7/2 if we forgive his last run from a wide draw and after being held up in a race where the leaders may have had an advantage. He was beaten less than 3L and the time before won an apprentice handicap off the same mark as today. His [...]

Value Test - 23rd Jul

23/07/12

21.00 Beverley

In a tricky race reduced from 17 to 15 runners Choc A Moca looks a bit short at 4/1 and Tabaret looks reasonable value at 13/2 and 7.2. He ran well in a claimer last time out but 2 runs before he ran 2nd to Bosuns Breeze who went on to win his next [...]