This article is an update to The Value Of Hidden Form – Kem 11/01/12.
I suggested a small each way bet on Sir Geoffrey and he obliged by running 3rd beaten only a neck and a head by his stablemate Cadeaux Pearl. The sp was 12/1 but he started at 15.69 and 4.60 to place on Betfair.
If he does not go up in the weights too much he will be a leading contender next time out over 5f as his wide draw may well have been the difference between victory and defeat this time. Best Trip, as predicted, did too much from his wide draw to get across to lead.
I also suggested a small each way on Smoky Cloud which was unsuccessful. He finished last having pressed the leader until weakening rapidly around 1f out. The interesting point to make is that the first four throughout the race finished as the last four.
This may mean that four of the first five performances need downgrading as they came from off the pace. The exception may be Torres Del Paine who finished second after lying in fifth throughout the race.
I will not be writing Smoky Cloud off just yet as he was still in with a chance with less than 2f to go and probably went off too keenly and too quickly. A couple more pounds off and a big double figure price may well tempt me into another small each way bet.