Please refer to “A Template For Race Analysis” which shows the analysis and future prospects from the 17.50 Wol on 19th Nov 2011. Le Toreador is also mentioned in the “Future Prospects – 13.10 Lin 29/11/11” article.
This is not a full analysis in an attempt to find the winner of this race. It is a quick means of checking the potential for backing one of the runners from the above race.
15.15 Kempton 20/12/11
LE TOREADOR – has been dropped to 85 and is running over 5f. His last run was 2nd in a claimer but the speed figure was Class 2 standard. He did not lead but ran very well considering.
He may not be able to lead today as although he has a good draw in 2 Mandy’s Hero and Best Trip are drawn 1 and 3. This may not matter as Mandy’s Hero does not look good enough to win and Best Trip has had a lay off, before which he was running poorly. He runs off 80 today and I have him rated at 77 so unless he is left alone in front has only nuisance value. The other front runner in the race is Island Legend who is drawn wide in 9 who also appears in the grip of the handicapper..
The RP forecast has Le Toreador as 4/1 fav.
Latest Prices
12.30 Betfair has him at 5.4 and he is 7/2 with most bookies. Everything looks in place for a good run but there will be plenty of pressure on the lead so I would keep stakes small but anything above 4/1 looks reasonable value.